Result |
6M 2015 |
6M 2014 |
year-on-year change (RUB vs. RUB), % | ||
RUB |
USD |
RUB |
USD | ||
million |
million | ||||
Revenue |
93,702 |
1,633 |
56,702 |
1,621 |
65% |
EBITDA* |
41,496 |
723 |
16,219 |
464 |
156% |
EBITDA margin |
44% |
29% |
15 p.p. | ||
Net profit |
27,686 |
482 |
8,097 |
231 |
242% |
|
RUB |
USD |
RUB |
USD |
|
Earnings per share |
214 |
4 |
60 |
2 |
257% |
Sales volumes |
Kmt |
Kmt | |||
Phosphate-based products |
2,724.8 |
2,394.0 |
14% | ||
Nitrogen-based fertilizers |
715.7 |
749.2 |
(4%) | ||
Apatit mine and beneficiation plant |
1,428.2 |
1,746.4 |
(18%) | ||
Other products |
55.6 |
114.1 |
(51%) |
- At its meeting on 17 August 2015, PhosAgro’s Board of Directors recommended that shareholders approve a dividend of RUB 7,381million, which represents RUB 57 per share (RUB 19 per Global Depositary Receipt). Shareholders will vote on the dividend recommendation at an Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders scheduled for 6 October 2015.
- As a result of ongoing activities to improve production efficiency, the Company continued to grow production and sales during 6M 2015. Total fertilizer production and sales volumes for the period grew year-on-year by 10%. Revenue in 6M 2015 was 65% higher year-on-year, supported by increases in average realised prices denominated in roubles for DAP/MAP and NPK exports of over 75% and 62%, respectively.
- In January, PhosAgro completed its RUB 2.6 billion project to construct new liquid ammonia storage facilities at the Balakovo branch of Apatit. These are currently the largest ammonia storage tanks in Russia, with a total capacity of 8,000 tonnes. The ammonia storage will allow PhosAgro to increase ammonia supply for its Balakovo plant, and support the further development of production capacities.
- In line with its strategy to develop downstream production capacity and expand its product portfolio, in February PhosAgro commissioned a new phosphate-potash-sulphur fertilizer production line with a capacity of 100 ths tonnes/year (PKS-100), together with a finished goods warehouse with a 1,500 tonne capacity. Total investment into the project, which PhosAgro financed from its own cash flows, amounted to over RUB 500 million.
- PhosAgro continued its restructuring process during 6M 2015, launching the merger of Agro-Cherepovets, PhosAgro AG and Nordic Rus Holding into PhosAgro-Cherepovets. This is aimed at further enhancing cost efficiency and simplifying the corporate structure.
- In June 2015 the Company officially launched Smart Bulk Terminal in Ust-Luga, which will help to achieve sustainable savings on fertilizer exports. This new terminal has a capacity of 1.5 million tonnes of fertilizer per year, and PhosAgro aims to ship up to 50% of its export volumes through Smart Bulk Terminal already in 2015.
- The average DAP price 6M 2015 was USD 476 per tonne FOB Tampa, which is 2% higher than in 6M 2014 (USD 465 per tonne FOB Tampa);
- Low carryover stocks, the stable Indian rupee and favourable weather conditions have contributed to a significant increase in import demand for DAP and NPK in India. DAP imports in 6M 2015 rose nearly threefold and reached 2.8 million tonnes (0.97 million tonnes in 6M 2014). NPK imports totalled 358 thousand tonnes, or 2.4 times more than in 6M 2014;
- Brazil’s imports of phosphate-based fertilizers in 6M 2015 decreased by 25% and amounted to 2.3 million tonnes of MAP/DAP/TSP/NPS/NPK. This decrease was due to the weakening agricultural commodities market, depreciation of the BRL against the USD and rising interest rates in Brazil;
- With phosphoric acid prices in India set at USD 810 per tonne of P2O5, the DAP production cash cost increased to the equivalent of USD 530-540 per tonne, CFR.
- As a result of a sharp increase in export supply from China and low seasons in key markets, urea prices began to decline gradually in the middle of the second quarter to USD 240-250 per tonne FOB Baltic, after reaching a peak in January of USD 320 per tonne FOB Baltic. The average urea price in 6M 2015 was USD 280 per tonne FOB Baltic, which is 10% below the average price for urea price in 6M 2014 (USD 311 per tonne FOB Baltic).
Result |
6M 2015 RUB mln |
6M 2014 RUB mln |
year-on-year change, % |
Revenue |
81,874 |
48,267 |
70% |
Cost of goods sold |
(35,286) |
(28,353) |
24% |
Gross profit |
46,588 |
19,914 |
134% |
- MAP/DAP fertilizers: MAP export revenue increased by 31% year-on-year, with revenue per tonne up in RUB terms by 76%, while volumes decreased by 26%. DAP export revenue increased by 403% year-on-year, with revenue per tonne in RUB terms growing by 74%, and volumes up by 189%. Domestic MAP sales increased by 29% year-on-year. Revenue from DAP/MAP sales was up 104% year-on-year, from RUB 18,424 million (USD 527 million) in 6M 2014 to RUB 37,595 million (USD 655 million) in 6M 2015, reflecting the overall 17% year-on-year growth in sales volumes and 73% rise in DAP/MAP average revenue per tonne denominated in RUB.
- NPK fertilizers: revenue from NPK export sales increased by 102% year-on-year, from RUB 6,758 million (USD 193 million) in 6M 2014 to RUB 13,646 million (USD 238 million) in 6M 2015, as a result of 24% year-on-year growth in NPK export sales volumes combined with a 62% rise in revenue per tonne denominated in RUB. Revenue from domestic NPK sales grew by 14% year-on-year from RUB 4,413 million (USD 126 million) in 6M 2014, to RUB 5,037 million (USD 88 million) in 6M 2015.
- Phosphate rock: revenue from phosphate rock sales rose by 19% year-on-year to RUB 9,085 million (USD 158 million) in 6M 2015. Revenue per tonne in roubles increased by 62%. Sales volumes decreased by 26%, due to higher internal consumption of phosphate rock by PhosAgro production sites.
Product |
6M 2015 RUB |
6M 2014 RUB |
year-on-year change, % |
Domestic: |
|
|
|
MAP |
24,707 |
16,072 |
54% |
DAP |
26,631 |
15,431 |
73% |
NPK |
18,602 |
12,891 |
44% |
NPS |
16,586 |
10,603 |
56% |
MCP |
25,006 |
20,120 |
24% |
PKS |
13,989 |
- |
- |
SOP |
33,990 |
24,144 |
41% |
STPP |
47,079 |
31,132 |
51% |
|
|
|
|
Export: |
|
|
|
MAP |
28,453 |
16,194 |
76% |
DAP |
28,157 |
16,167 |
74% |
NPK |
19,998 |
12,326 |
62% |
NPS |
21,030 |
10,922 |
93% |
MCP |
30,057 |
19,692 |
53% |
PKS |
16,916 |
- |
- |
SOP |
37,123 |
24,513 |
51% |
STPP |
48,827 |
34,037 |
43% |
Result |
6M 2015 RUB mln |
6M 2014 RUB mln |
year-on-year change, % |
Revenue |
11,164 |
8,093 |
38% |
Inter-segment transfers |
- |
8 |
- |
Cost of goods sold |
(5,566) |
(4,210) |
32% |
Gross profit |
5,598 |
3,891 |
44% |
Product |
6M 2015 RUB |
6M 2014 RUB |
year-on-year change, % |
Domestic: |
|
|
|
Ammonium nitrate |
12,849 |
9,610 |
34% |
Urea |
15,994 |
11,822 |
35% |
|
|
|
|
Export: |
|
|
|
Ammonium nitrate |
14,393 |
- |
- |
Urea |
16,698 |
11,070 |
51% |
NP |
- |
10,094 |
- |
Item |
6M 2015 |
6M 2014 |
Change y-on-y | |||||
RUB mln |
USD mln |
% of cost sales |
RUB mln |
USD mln |
% of cost of sales |
RUB mln |
% | |
Materials and services |
10,060 |
175 |
24% |
8,749 |
250 |
27% |
1,311 |
15% |
Salaries and social contributions |
4,812 |
84 |
12% |
4,976 |
142 |
15% |
(164) |
(3%) |
Sulphur and sulphuric acid |
4,438 |
77 |
11% |
1,719 |
49 |
5% |
2,719 |
158% |
Ammonia |
4,408 |
77 |
11% |
1,599 |
46 |
5% |
2,809 |
176% |
Depreciation |
3,894 |
68 |
9% |
3,629 |
104 |
11% |
265 |
7% |
Natural gas |
3,567 |
62 |
9% |
3,694 |
106 |
11% |
(127) |
(3%) |
Potash |
3,443 |
60 |
8% |
1,957 |
56 |
6% |
1,486 |
76% |
Cost of fertilizers purchased for resale from 3rd parties |
2,228 |
39 |
5% |
1,713 |
49 |
5% |
515 |
30% |
Electricity |
1,903 |
33 |
5% |
1,782 |
51 |
5% |
121 |
7% |
Ammonium sulphate |
1,314 |
23 |
3% |
354 |
10 |
1% |
960 |
271% |
Fuel |
1,303 |
23 |
3% |
1,545 |
44 |
5% |
(242) |
(16%) |
Heating energy |
380 |
7 |
1% |
804 |
23 |
3% |
(424) |
(53%) |
Other items |
5 |
- |
- |
15 |
1 |
- |
(10) |
(67%) |
Change in stock of WIP and finished goods |
(305) |
(5) |
(1)% |
328 |
9 |
1% |
(633) |
(193%) |
Total |
41,450 |
722 |
100% |
32,864 |
940 |
100% |
8,586 |
26% |
- An increase of RUB 1,311 million (USD 23 million), or 15%, year-on-year in the cost of materials and services due to price inflation of 11.8% (PPI 6M 2015 vs 6M 2014), together with 10% growth in fertilizer production volumes.
- A year-on-year decrease in personnel costs of RUB 164 million (USD 3 million), or 3%, as a result of the headcount reduction programme.
- A year-on-year increase in expenditure on purchased ammonia of RUB 2,809 million (USD 49 million), or 176%, from RUB 1,599 million (USD 46 million) in 6M 2014 to RUB 4,408 million (USD 77 million) in 6M 2015. This was due to 70% higher purchase volumes and a 63% rise in RUB-denominated prices, year-on-year. Growth in ammonia purchase volumes was due to increases in fertilizers production volumes.
- A year-on-year decrease in expenditure on natural gas of RUB 127 million, or 3%, to RUB 3,567 million (USD 62 million) in 6M 2015. This was due to a decline in consumption of gas by 4%. Natural gas is required primarily for the production of ammonia. The decline in volume of gas consumed was due to PhosAgro’s 5% year-on-year decline in ammonia production.
- A year-on-year increase in expenditure on potash of 76%, or RUB 1,486 million (USD 26 million), to RUB 3,443 million (USD 60 million) in 6M 2015. This was mainly due to a 67% rise in RUB-denominated potash purchase prices and 5% growth in potash purchase volumes as a result of the start of PKS production in 6M 2015.
- A year-on-year decrease in expenditure on fuel of RUB 242 million (USD 4 million), or 16%, from RUB 1,545 million (USD 44 million) in 6M 2014 to RUB 1,303 million (USD 23 million) in 6M 2015. This was in line with the 15% decrease in fuel consumption as a result of reduced open-pit mining at Apatit and a 1% decrease in purchase prices. Lower heating oil consumption volumes resulted from the change in heating energy production and the replacement of heating oil with other types of resources, such as electricity and oil waste. The purchase price decreased due to using lower-priced brands of heating oil in 6M 2015.
- A year-on-year increase in expenditure on ammonium sulphate of RUB 960 million (USD 17 million), or 271%. RUB-denominated purchase prices rose by 110% year-on-year, while higher production of NPK with high nitrogen content led to growth in consumption of ammonium sulphate by 77%.
- A year-on-year decrease in heating energy expenses by RUB 424 million (USD 7 million), or by 53%, from RUB 804 million (USD 23 million) in 6M 2014 to RUB 380 million (USD 7 million) in 6M 2015. Purchased volumes of heating energy declined by 44% together with a decrease in purchase prices of 16%. Purchase volumes fell due to the transition of Apatit from an energy supplier to an energy purchaser, which was the result of optimisation and outsourcing of these functions.
- An increase in expenditure on sulphur and sulphuric acid of RUB 2,719 million (USD 47 million), or 158%, year-on-year from RUB 1,719 million (USD 49 million) in 6M 2014 to RUB 4,438 million (USD 77 million) in 6M 2015. This was driven by an 8% increase in volumes consumed due to higher production of phosphate-based fertilizers, mainly MAP/DAP, and by 140% growth in RUB-denominated purchase prices.
- An increase in professional services by 164%, or RUB 537 million (USD 9 million), year-on-year, related to optimisation projects.
- A year-on-year rise in personnel expenses by RUB 513 million (USD 9 million), or 22%, mainly due to the implementation of the new management KPI incentive system, which led to increased bonuses to key management as result of overall EBITDA growth.
- A 120% increase in freight, port and stevedoring expenses from RUB 2,189 million (USD 63 million) in 6M 2014 to RUB 4,825 million (USD 84 million) in 6M 2015, mainly due to growth of CFR shipments, leading to higher freight costs and port charges, denominated in USD
- Growth of 42% in materials and services from RUB 768 million (USD 22 million) in 6M 2014 to RUB 1,091 million (USD 19 million) in 6M 2015. This was mainly driven by an increase in multimode shipment volumes.
- IFA forecasts that during the 2015-16 season, consumption of phosphate-based fertilizers is expected to grow by 0.5 million tonnes of P2O5 to 41.8 million tonnes, or 1.1%. In the longer term, growth in consumption of phosphate-based fertilizers is expected to be 1.8% per year, reaching 45.7 million tonnes of P2O5 in 2019-20, with faster growth rates in Africa (4.4% per annum), Latin America (3% per annum) and Asia (3% per annum). Nitrogen fertilizer growth in 2015-16 is forecast at 1.0%, reaching 112.9 million tonnes of N, then increasing at a forecast CAGR of 1.3% through 2019-20.
- Demand from India is expected to remain strong until the second half of November. Annual imports of DAP in India are projected to reach at least 5.0 million tonnes (CRU, Argus-FMB).
- Import demand from the United States has recovered as a consequence of the closure in 2014 of DAP/MAP production capacities of 1.5 million tonnes.
- China’s introduction of a 13% VAT on fertilizers in September (including exports), is expected to increase cash costs for Chinese producers of DAP/MAP
- Seasonal demand for DAP/MAP is expected to recover in the fourth quarter for Europe and Africa (Ethiopia).
- Agricultural commodities performance continues to be a limiting factor for significant fertilizer price increases. At the same time, farmers’ incentives to maintain high yields on cereals, especially soybeans, with minimum growth in planted acres should support phosphate application.
- RUB depreciation has accelerated in August and there is limited potential for significant strengthening before the end of the year, which will more than offset seasonal price declines after the end of the autumn application season.
- The Main Shaft №2 at the Kirovsk underground mine is scheduled to be commissioned in the near future.
- Plans to open sales offices in Sao Paulo (Brazil), Zug (Switzerland) and Warsaw (Poland) are on track.
- As result of the marketing efforts at the new sales offices, the Company intends to invest further into expanding the number of NPK and other fertilizer grades it produces to better serve local farmers.
- All major development projects are on track, including the new ammonia plant designed to increase cost efficiency and support further expansion of PhosAgro’s complex fertilizer production capacity.